A 99% Accurate Test That's Mostly Wrong?How statistics can mislead even medical experts.

From the show

The Logic Glitch

A highly accurate medical test can still be surprisingly deceptive. When testing for a rare condition like HIV in a low-risk population, a positive result is more likely to be a false alarm than a true infection. This counterintuitive outcome, known as the base rate fallacy, reveals a common flaw in how we interpret probabilities. The way we're presented with numbers dramatically changes our understanding of risk.